Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 116.570532 128.984400 141.760727 155.865253 170.971680 186.638644 204.087575
2024-10-27 95.688107 113.889162 133.590698 156.382101 181.900437 209.473111 241.397032
2024-11-03 83.005350 105.689425 131.393825 162.376598 198.402187 238.670463 286.774372
2024-11-10 71.937408 97.710054 128.199408 166.353935 212.232496 265.043141 329.824822
2024-11-17 63.344503 91.437961 126.025141 170.794720 226.238943 291.694368 373.804912
2024-11-24 56.717269 86.686317 124.967457 176.049453 240.977348 319.323382 419.495771
2024-12-01 47.004199 76.648149 116.101549 170.517982 241.623795 329.407689 443.871393
2024-12-08 40.061866 69.495469 110.208028 168.085839 245.611565 343.265968 472.787020
2024-12-15 35.466105 65.107179 107.554618 169.526771 254.331986 362.999757 509.205394
2024-12-22 31.839435 61.701192 105.885179 171.995561 264.236052 384.255158 547.792203
2024-12-29 29.738025 60.402111 107.060217 178.326970 279.372019 412.505525 595.785978
2025-01-05 27.394895 58.414065 106.978912 182.708074 291.800797 437.313488 639.646507
2025-01-12 23.889413 54.130369 103.169918 181.573171 296.675781 452.440006 671.566620
2025-01-19 20.920198 50.402357 99.908346 181.002617 302.232044 468.546246 705.084848
2025-01-26 19.553126 49.434377 100.982114 186.991972 317.326577 497.954963 756.926302
2025-02-02 17.958798 47.821084 100.831946 191.002414 329.569147 523.609803 804.094672
2025-02-09 16.641146 46.570327 101.155558 195.679956 342.818669 550.820449 853.719837
2025-02-16 15.597352 45.740467 102.113376 201.344561 357.620176 580.423266 907.029755
2025-02-23 12.977690 41.138075 96.007457 195.160497 354.219272 584.031793 924.401056
2025-03-02 11.145156 37.957197 92.168878 192.430208 355.867772 594.730458 951.629417
2025-03-09 10.026866 36.263334 90.948982 193.995034 364.132003 615.047286 992.550715
2025-03-16 9.143693 35.000672 90.439245 196.704435 374.195921 638.094067 1037.584586
2025-03-23 8.764488 34.980486 92.352594 203.677945 391.153153 671.498947 1097.729660